The analysis and charts in this post were inspired by Scorigami, a website which tracks whether a certain final score has occurred in an NFL game. As an example, there has been one game that has ended with a score of 72-41 and no games that have ended with a score of 21-5. This piece is a companion to an analysis of the Men’s Tournament, which you can find here.
In this post, I analyzed all the different matchups between different seeds at the NCAA tournament. All data in the below analyses are sourced from the Kaggle “March Machine Learning Mania 2023” datasets and incorporates results from 1998 to 2022. This doesn’t quite capture every year of the 64-team tournament era, which began in ’94.
Anything under the “N/A” line is an upset. I was surprised to see that there has never been a 3-14 or 2-15 upset in the tournament.
